You choose, we deliver
If you are interested in this story, you might be interested in others from The Journal Gazette. Go to www.journalgazette.net/newsletter and pick the subjects you care most about. We'll deliver your customized daily news report at 3 a.m. Fort Wayne time, right to your email.

Business

  • OPEC seen unlikely to cut output despite oil glut
    VIENNA (AP) — OPEC oil ministers meeting in Vienna today are in a bind. Prices are plunging — and in the short term, the cartel may not be able to do much about it.
  • Toyota recalls more cars for air bag problems
    TOKYO (AP) — Toyota Motor Corp. recalled more than 40,000 vehicles in Japan today as part of a worldwide scare over defective air bags and officials are investigating a new type of air bag problem that could lead to further recalls.
  • Obama's immigration move disappoints businesses
    WASHINGTON (AP) — President Barack Obama's executive actions on immigration left out some of the business community's top priorities, disappointing business leaders who might have stepped up to defend his policies in the face of Republican
Advertisement

Column: Cattle prices explode

Breitinger

Cattle prices bolted to an all-time high again this week, driven by ongoing fears of a nationwide cattle shortage created by recent droughts that cut off the animals’ feed supplies.

This week's rally was partially attributed to meatpackers and retailers who had been holding off on purchasing beef in hopes of lower prices. As prices rose, panicked buyers flocked to the market, pushing prices higher yet, gaining more than four cents per pound during the week, reaching as high as $1.41.

As prices rise, consumers may shift to less expensive meats such as pork and poultry, hurting beef demand, which could drive prices lower.

On the other hand, a strengthening U.S. economy could put more money in consumers' pockets, allowing them to continue paying up for burgers and steaks.

Natural gas heats up

During the recent onslaught of wintry weather, traders’ attention focused on natural gas demand.

The U.S. Department of Energy released a report Thursday showing that our country used up a record amount of natural gas last week during the storm, consuming an unprecedented 287 billion cubic feet of the fuel.

As a result of the report and expectations for continued strong heating demand, natural gas futures lifted to a three-week high at $4.49 per million British thermal units.

The rally may be tempered longer term, as vast reserves of gas are tapped using hydraulic fracturing or “fracking” in the Marcellus region of the northeast United States.

The process extracts gas from deep layers of underground rock using sand, chemicals, and large amounts of water. Though controversial, the rapid expansion of fracking has quickly created a surplus of natural gas.

Supply and demand

Natural gas prices are being tempered by abundant supplies despite increasing demand. In contrast, we can’t make enough beef to meet demand right now, so meat prices are skyrocketing.

High prices inevitably cause two things to happen -- demand is killed, and producers (ranchers) are stimulated to produce more to capture the profitable high prices.

The relatively low price of natural gas and burdensome supplies coming on stream would typically be expected to reverse as demand is stimulated for the cheaper energy source and the producers (drillers) slow down production.

Longer term, these market forces should make cheap commodities go up and expensive commodities fall in price. Hence the proverb we all learn as commodity brokers and traders: “The solution to low prices is low prices. The solution to high prices is high prices.”

Walt Breitinger is a commodity futures broker in Valparaiso. He can be reached at (800) 411-3888 or www.indianafutures.com. This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell any market.

Advertisement