The sprawling citrus orchard that Victor Story toured recently sure looked like a steal. For sale at $11,000 an acre, the investors who owned it were going to lose money, and potential buyers like Story might have stood to reap a handsome reward.
But as he bumped along the 40 acres of groves in a large SUV, Story was taken aback by the sickly look of the trees. Their leaves were an inch shorter than normal and yellowing. Full-size oranges were still apple green. Other mature oranges that should have been the size of baseballs were no bigger than ping-pong balls.
That fruits never going to be of any value, said Story, 68, who has been growing fruit all his life.
He said his pickers wouldnt even bother to reach for it.
Its going to fall off the tree; its never going to get squeezed, he said. These investors paid $15,000 an acre for that grove. I know because they bought it from a friend. I frankly dont think it will sell for $11,000.
What Story saw in the orchard in Polk County, Fla., wasnt an anomaly. Its the new norm in the Sunshine State, where about half the trees are stricken with an incurable bacterial infection from China that goes by many names: huanglongbing, yellow dragon disease and citrus greening.
Growers, agriculturalists and academics liken it to cancer. Roots become deformed. Fruits drop from limbs prematurely and rot. The trees slowly die.
The bacteria are spread by a tiny, invasive bug from China called Asian citrus psyllid. It acquires the bacteria while feeding on the leaves of infected trees, then transmits it when feeding on healthy trees – akin to the way mosquitoes transfer malaria.
Psyllids were first detected in a Broward County, Fla., garden in 1998 and spread to 31 other counties within two years. The Asian strain of the bacteria was discovered in 2005 just south of Miami. The disease ruins the look and taste of the fruit but isnt known to harm humans.
Florida citrus, which provides up to 80 percent of Americas orange juice, has been hardest hit, but the disease also has been detected in Georgia, Louisiana, Texas, Arizona and California. It has spread to other parts of the world, including Mexico, India, sub-Saharan Africa and Brazil, which provides nearly 20 percent of the orange juice Americans drink. In each case, the effect to citrus has been devastating.
Worldwide concern prompted 500 scientists from more than 20 nations to gather in Orlando last February for a conference on huanglongbing. Even though nearly $80 million has been poured into research on the disease, scientists still dont know how to eliminate the bacteria or remove it from trees.
Even those who are optimistic about a scientific breakthrough admit that if the infection continues unabated for another decade or so – admittedly a worst-case scenario – Floridas $9 billion citrus industry could be destroyed.
Whats at stake is orange juice on the breakfast table, said Michael Sparks, chief executive of Florida Citrus Mutual, a trade association. I dont want to indicate thats going to happen next year. With a 10-year decline, your supply will reduce.
Researchers funded by the industry, the state and the U.S. Department of Agriculture are exploring an option that could save the trees and their citrus but also turn off consumers: engineering and planting genetically modified trees that are resistant to the bacteria carried by the psyllid.
Would that be accepted by the public? Sparks asked. You dont have to do a focus group or another survey to know it is a public concern.
The high cost of spraying to kill off some of the psyllids is pushing some growers to the brink. The average cost of producing an acre of oranges is $1,800, nearly double what it cost in 1995.
A 2012 analysis estimated the disease has cost growers $4.6 billion and resulted in the loss of about 8,000 jobs.